EUR/USD Falls Below 1.1000 Ahead of PMIs.
Introduction
In the ever-changing forex market, the EUR/USD has experienced a significant event as it fell below the crucial 1.1000 level. This decline comes as bears regain control in a volatile environment, with traders eagerly awaiting guidance from vital economic indicators such as the US JOLTS job openings data and ISM Manufacturing PMI. Additionally, the EU’s final PMIs are anticipated to impact the currency pair.
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW
EUR/USD Loses Momentum
During early European trading hours on Tuesday, the EUR/USD faced a loss in momentum, and as a result, it slipped below the 1.1000 mark. The technical analysis of the pair suggests that there might be more room for further downward movement.
US Dollar Strengthens
The observed shift in risk sentiment has boosted the US Dollar’s strength, which in turn, weighs on the EUR/USD on Tuesday. The bearish market sentiment is evident as the Euro Stoxx 50 Index is down 0.4% after the opening, and US stock index futures are trading negatively in the European morning.
Key Economic Indicators
Investors are closely monitoring two crucial economic indicators: the US JOLTS Job Openings data and the ISM Manufacturing PMI, both scheduled for the afternoon. The Employment Index component is expected to show a slight decline from 48.1 in June to 48 in July, which would keep the headline PMI in the contraction zone below 50. If either the Employment Index or the Manufacturing PMI comes in above 50, the USD may continue to outperform its competitors.
Impact of JOLTS Job Openings
Anticipated to fall to 9.6 million in June, the JOLTS Job Openings data might hold the key to the Federal Reserve’s future policy decisions. The possibility of further interest rate hikes later this year remains uncertain for the markets. A reading of 9 million or less could revive dovish Federal Reserve bets and lead to a potential recovery in the EUR/USD.
EUR/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS DAILY CHART
To better understand the current situation, let’s delve into the technical analysis of the EUR/USD:
Technical Overview
The EUR/USD is presently trading within a down channel, indicating a bearish trend. Additionally, the currency pair is positioned below all Simple Moving Averages (SMA), further emphasizing the bearish sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in the selling zone, confirming the negative trend, while the Stochastic oscillator also signals a downward momentum.
Immediate Levels
The immediate resistance level for the EUR/USD stands at 1.1018, while the immediate support level is at 1.0963.
HOW TO TRADE EUR/USD
Critical Support Level
After experiencing a sharp rise, the price of EUR/USD encountered resistance and reversed its direction. Currently, the currency pair is trading at a crucial support level with a lower low-like structure. Should this support zone be breached, further downside movement could be anticipated.
Trade Suggestion
Based on the current technical analysis and market conditions, a sell signal is indicated for EUR/USD. Traders may consider entering the market at 1.0942, setting a take profit level at 1.0877, and placing a stop loss at 1.0995.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD’s fall below 1.1000 has garnered significant attention from investors and traders alike. The market sentiment remains bearish due to a strengthening US Dollar and other key economic factors. As traders closely observe critical economic indicators and technical signals, they navigate the forex market in search of potential opportunities for profit.