XAG/USD Surges Towards $32.50 as Federal Reinforces Steady Policy Stance
Fundamental Overview:
Silver prices (XAG/USD) have rebounded sharply, nearing $32.50 during Tuesday’s European trading session. Despite facing multiple challenges, including the Federal Reserve’s commitment to maintaining higher interest rates for an extended period, the precious metal has regained its footing. Key factors driving this recovery include fading concerns over Trump’s tariff policies and growing optimism about a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal.
Federal Reserve officials, including Governor Michelle Bowman, have reiterated that current monetary policies are appropriate given the resilient U.S. economy, persistent inflation, and a balanced labor market. Bowman emphasized the need for “greater confidence” in inflation control before considering any policy changes.
Geopolitical developments have also played a role in shaping market sentiment. Recent reports suggest that Russian and Ukrainian leaders have agreed to peace talks, with former U.S. President Donald Trump facilitating discussions. Historically, easing geopolitical tensions reduces the appeal of safe-haven assets like silver.
Additionally, fears surrounding Trump’s proposed reciprocal tariffs have diminished. Although no concrete tariff plan was announced last week, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick indicated that any measures would likely take effect by April 1, allowing time for negotiations with trading partners.
Technical Analysis:
Silver trades within an upward channel, positioned above all key moving averages (SMA). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a buying zone, while the Stochastic oscillator suggests a neutral trend. Key levels to watch include immediate resistance at 32.60 and support at 32.60 and support 31.65.
Trade Suggestion:
- Stop Buy: 32.69
- Take Profit: 33.88
- Stop Loss: 32.07
Silver’s price is testing a critical resistance zone. A breakout above this level could signal further upward momentum, making it a potential buying opportunity for traders.